poodles

Nope. They’re just cornered poodles

SQUARE.JW.01The European Commission has proposed reforms to EU asylum rules that would see a financial penalty of  €250,000 per migrant not given shelter by EU members.

The UK and Ireland can opt out of asylum policies, and Denmark is also exempt. Everyone else will face the fines for non-compliance – and they are quite clearly aimed at Austria, Poland, Hungary, and other countries with less than fond memories of the Ottoman Empire.

This is going to leave Brussels-am-Berlin facing imminent civil war on at least five fronts: UK Brexit, East European migrant policy intransigence, Spanish political chaos, Italian banking meltdown…and what to do about Turkey.

Has the EU’s head finally spun away from its sedentary, decaying body? Possibly. But ever-present in the “development” of Europe is the NATO/Washington factor. The actions of the Eunatics these days are, entirely predictably, a less than judicious mélange of desperation and obsequity….think unsocialised, chained poodles with generalised anxiety syndrome, and you’ll be pretty close.

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Recep Erdogan’s presidential aide let slip a Freudian hint when he told the media yesterday that the country and its economy would “stabilise further when a prime minister more closely aligned with President Erdogan takes office”. Erdogan’s ruthless search for government by himself and close cronies continues….as I’ve been saying for five years it would. But strengthening his hand every inch of the way have been the EC in general, and a bungling Mutti Merkel.

Before the last elections, he rattled a sabre – and the Brussels idiots showered him with utterly undeserved praise.

Seeing an easy way to rattle the EU’s cage over migrants from Syria and Iraq, he pushed more numbers across the mediterranean, demanded money to take them back – and Merkel ensured he got it.

But then he wanted more: freer movement for Turks in the EU – effectively, joining the EU without any of the costs – and Merkel gave it to him…despite Erdogan reneging on nearly a third of the conditions set down by the Sprouts. When a German comedian was rude about him, he demanded (and got) a prosecution. So much for European Free Speech.

Now, strengthened again – and with no need for further pretence of democracy – his Prime Minister has been pushed out. All we need now is a fire in the Turkish Assembly, and Erdogan will have the full set. If it threatens, blackmails, reneges, garners interior power and loathes the Jews like a Nazi, chances are it’s a Nazi.

So: has Brussels-am-Berlin gone mad? No, it is just doing as it’s told.

One key player in the master/servant relationship involved is Italian airhead Federica Mogherini. Her astonishingly high profile at the signing of the Iran deal earlier this year showed once and for all what she is: NATO (aka Washington’s) point-man on the project to ensure the EU is joined at the hip to US geopolitical ambitions in Europe and the Middle East. And when it comes to the Great God oyuurrlll, the State Department desperately needs Recep Erdogan inside the tent….regardless of the direction in which he chooses to urinate at any given time.

These moves by the Turkish dictator are not the precursor to Turkey’s entry into the EU: Erdogan doesn’t want to be just one Islamist among 28 infidels: he wants to be the Caliphate that went down in history as destroying Christian Europe. Yes, it sounds Down the Rabbit-Hole…but then Erdo the Mad is a lot deeper down in the warren than most.

But there is one weak card in the President’s hand: the Turkish economy. Turkish banks have seen a huge rise in bad debts and bankruptcies, and GDP growth is expected to slow, the World Bank says now. Real and imagined bomb attacks in Ankara have seen a drop in tourist bookings, and the Kurdish South East of Turkey remains an unsafe area.

If he wishes to remain under the American eagle’s wing, then the sensible tactic for Erdogan would be ‘cool it for a while and focus on the economy’. I doubt if he will: first, he is not in the job to make Turkey materially rich on the Infidel’s terms….he wants respect and power among the Islamic community of nations; second, he is dead in the water if the focus turns to the economy, because the country’s debt is almost entirely foreign-owned – and has been ballooning out of control in recent years. Turkey is as close to being drowned by debt as any country in the world beyond Greece and Puerto Rica. The truth is, Erdogan doesn’t know the first thing about sound economic management.

My guess is that Recep Erdogan will continue on his strategy of destabilising Greece, and supplying those dedicated to the destruction of Israel via Sunni military action. He is closely allied in that aim to the Saudis….and that is going to give Britain’s unethical arms policy yet another thing to think about in the years to come.

Right now, what Erdogan needs is a war to regenerate his GDP. Some say he is a mere poodle of the Americans; I say that, as long as he is a major part of oil deliverability to the West via Qatar, he is nobody’s poodle. The only poodle on the block so far in 2016 has been Angela Merkel.

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Sooner rather than later, Berlin is going to have to decide which way its Politik will face: West or East. Two days ago, a national survey showed that fully 62% of Germans are opposed to the Turkey visa-free scheme, with only 33% relaxed about it.

Like it or not, the Erdogan blackmail was only made possible by US foreign policy in relation to Syria, which created the immigrant Tsunami in the first place. Further, in the 36 hours since the ludicrous ‘fines’ policy was made public, Poland’s foreign minister has asked sarcastically if it is “a serious proposal”, Hungary has called it “blackmail” and “unacceptable”, the Czech Republic said it was “an unpleasant surprise” as it returned to a concept of mandatory quotas, and the Slovak interior minister dismissed the proposal as “unreality”.

The EU is a mess of its own making fiscally and economically, where members have frequently ignored the rules; specifically, the euro was in both conception and final form a disaster from which there is no escape.

But it is just possible that, with belligerent insistence, a German run Fiskalunion could make it to the other side….wherever that may be. However, add the geopolitical US energy obsession to that maelstrom, and the EU is doomed.

The time may well be approaching when – if American global hegemony falters – Europe’s leaders will have to decide whether to extend Europe to include another nation called Russia.

Which, for me, would simply be Reason #159 for Brexit.

Yesterday at The Slog: local elections with international ramifications