THE IDS HAMMER BLOW: Why the Remain Camp now faces three civil wars on British soil

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Beware the ids of March

When the news first broke about IDS last Friday, I found myself so confused I didn’t know where to start. So (wisely for once) I didn’t; instead, I wrote about the leaked TTIP/EU clauses, and how they will be agreed by the crooks in the EC without letting the crooks in the EU Parliament get at the trough. Even for the European Union, this plumbs new depths of corporate fascism, and it will prove to be – in the long term – a far more important story than what does or does not drive Irritable Dunkin’-Stiff.

Saturday afternoon I went to Cahors for the weekend, looking for interesting UK political analyses online while taking some snaps in Puy L’Eveque – of which more later. Then after a belter of a supper at the Old Labour House of Aylett the Painter, I typed some ramificatory thoughts into Wordpad, and slept off a sensational bottle of Chateau Grezels before returning this morning. If ever there was a case of the important coming before the urgent, this was it.

Enough with the throat-clearing, already: all I can do is offer an opinion about how constitutionally serious this situation is for Britain – for me, a more profound issue than any political question or Party split – and then focus mainly on how the disadvantaged can capitalise on the fallout.

The situation Britons face this weekend is the most serious since 1940 – and I say this without any attempt at hyperbole.

To sum up, we have a Government peopled overwhelmingly by liars, chancers and the terminally thick; elected by a mere 25% of the electorate; facing the secession of Scotland; engaged in a bitter Referendum about its biggest trading partner; fiscally managed by a drug abusing weirdo whose economic strategy is and always was infantile; mismanaged to the extent of both unnecessary welfare cuts and and 50% more debt than it had six years ago; part-proprietor of a banking sector riddled with liabilities; running an economy in which physical exports have decined 23% in four years; trampling on the rights of citizens to protest about the level of disenfranchisement; and split right down the middle by a noxious brew of revanchist history alongside the EU question.

If this were not bad enough, it faces an Opposition within which the Liberal centre has been emasculated, the Labour Party wiped out in Scotland, and the PLP’s MPs are engaged in a civil war between cynical reformers and neolithic fundamentalists…the latter of whom represent easy meat for a largely Right-wing media set towering over a declining liberal press sector.

Yes, but apart from that…

Sadly, there’s a lot more than that. Looking behind the scenes, there seems little doubt that IDS not only loathes the entire Cameron set, he holds Osborne in particularly low esteem because yes, even the Welfare Secretary thinks Nobsore is cutting too much, and displaying far too much relish in so doing. But infinitely more important than this, there are hurt pride and bruised egos involved here.

From being just a wet behind the ears new MP, Cameron befriended former leader IDS’s greatest rival, Michael Howard. He played a key role in shafting IDS, and installing Night Mover Howard – who, even by Conservative Party standards, is renowned as an utterly vicious shit.

Osborne was also (as with Mandelson after guesting on Murdoch’s gin palace) foolishly indiscreet in telling a colleague that Duncan-Smith “really isn’t bright enough to be a Cabinet Minister”. Smith is not a man who rebuffs grudges, and in doing what he did three days ago, the nvb bloke has very probably done for Squeaky the Draper.

Even the Tory press accepts that this has been an atrocious week for Osbollocks. Over the last year, oldies (like Ambrose Evans-Pritchard) used to Westminster Whoppers have finally began to use the M for mendacious word. Across the UK media last Wednesday, Little Osborne received a mauling from the live media, and diehard peasant-crushers like James Kirkup wrote in the Maily Torygraph about the Chancellor’s very slim chances of retaining his job….let alone a credible leadership challenge. No less a dinosaur than the archetypal old before his age columnist Fattie Heffer headlines his piece today with “Osborne’s downfall is now a certainty”.

While such deaths are often exaggerated, I do now believe that – whatever the outcome of the Brexit referendum – Cameron will face a leadership challenge, by the Autumn at the very latest and more likely well before then. Thus the Eurogroupe Troika (even if it gets a Stay vote) could well find itself dealing with a British Viktor Orban, rather than tender fillet of Cameron.

All of which obviously raises the tricky question, who’s next? Boris Johnson may seem like a shoo-in to many, but he is still miles away from being that. In his favour is the myth of BoJo the Good Ol’ Boy, beloved of those from the highest to the lowest…ie, broad electoral appeal. Against him is the still-powerful feeling among influential Conservatives that the retiring London Mayor is much too far from shy, is capable of doing anything with minimal warning, and is a man doomed to clouds in both his past and future.

Beyond Mayoral politics, Johnson lacks a clear political pedigree. In the cynical electoral values of our media-skewed 2016, this is very much an advantage; but in the contemporary Tory Party, other things matter more. There, it is important to know which camp one is in.

On that measure, Michael Gove fares better than most. He more than anyone has risked everything to be rid of the EU. Further, he has (in Tory eyes) a solid Ministerial track record. And last but not least, he has the Digger Seal of Approval.

Mr Gove also has the bruised ego motive, having been dumped by Cameldung as Education Secretary….a role he had always seen as his life’s work.

To confuse matters further, however, Gove and Johnson are seen by many as close political allies….a sort of chalk and cheese double-act that could be very effective: Gove the passionate and effective legislator, Johnson the populist publicity-seeking missile…the latter also being acceptable to Murdoch while at the same time the chosen son of the Barclay twins.

In the short term, however, for once the hackneyed term ‘disarray’ really does apply to the Camerlot Government. And this offers a perhaps never-to-be-repeated chance for the WASPI Campaign Women to press home the obvious case they have for the restoration of all their State Pension rights…with absolutely no compromise. The WASPI’s only reward for running a decent, well-mannered campaign has been a cavalcade of DWP and Treasury lies and indifference. Now the enemy is in hot water, the time to strike has arrived.

As for where this leaves the Opposition to a disastrous Conservative hegemony, it’s far too early to say. One among many of the myriad ironies of uniquely anarchic UK politics is the one thing that ties Burnhamites, Corbynistas and the ScotNats together: their blind spot when it comes to the corporacratic Trojan Horse now standing at the gates of the European Commission in the shape of America’s TTIP demands.

In this, the age of quality-free quantity of choice, we are all seekers after the least vile option available. Whether that is really any kind of genuine democratic choice, I leave up to the reader in the light of this Webster’s Dictionary definition:

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26 thoughts on “THE IDS HAMMER BLOW: Why the Remain Camp now faces three civil wars on British soil

  1. Twould appear the vapid draper osbeen(and gone with luck) has taken a terminal skid on the wallpaper paste. Can we really be so lucky? However these antics seriously distract from the main issue of secretive trade agreement and the brexit vote. Will the rest of the bullington bully boys please self destruct so that the serious business can begin.

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  2. I wouldn’t call it a hammer blow. Many hate IDS he is an intellectual lightweight, and has made a hash of the job to date.
    Cameron has problems, Jeremy Hunt, George Osborne, Theresa May. 3 more ministers not cutting it at the highest level.
    There are many more below, but Rudd and the rest will get by with luck.
    I still see Boris becoming PM towards the end of the parliament. I don’t believe Gove even wants it.

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  3. This is a storm in a tea cup. Business as usual tomorrow – maybe a weaker pound. Rolls Royce UP 2.5% – Antafagasta and Shell DOWN 10%
    STAY eu (Cameron) and Hillary Clinton will win
    IDS has been used as the attack dog on the low hanging fruit. He has just realised – but too late.
    The present government has been put on notice. Sort it all fast or your toast.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. Well, if TTIP goes through, does it matter a damn who is PM? It’s like saying it matters who manages a sports team if the whole league is controlled by the Mafia…….

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  5. Dear All,

    I do not know if you are aware, in (distant) connection with TTIP: there is also TISA that affects the EU, an agreement just as bad for the ordinary folks of the planet as TTIP, or TTP for that matter. The wonderful and unreported news is that so far there have already been two countries that have decided to DIScontinue negotiations to join the agreement: Uruguay ,soon after joined by Paraguay. http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/9/24/1424651/-Uruguay-does-the-unthinkable-rejects-TISA

    This actually means that there is life after resisting the signing of the agreements.

    How about alternative media taking itself seriously about this issue? Alternative media – to my mind – includes the commenters/followers, not only the authors of articles.

    Any ideas, anyone?

    Liked by 1 person

  6. I have seen it stated that Russia, China, India and a couple of others were not invited to the party. The whole basis of the various trade agreemenst is that the combined corptocracy and Anerican hegonomy w.ill prevail and the individual people and countries will bow to their will. Of course many politicians believe they comprise the elite and will be immune to the consequences of this untramelled power play from the evil empire. They may well rue the day they allowed it to happen.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. There is a news blackout on TTIP. A free press ? Really?
    Vile- Villein- Village -Village Dwellers – country people slow to adopt religion became vile and vilified.

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  8. Well, there are 100,000 of us Conservative members, and WE are going to decide who succeeds CMD .The two horse ticket, from Tory MPs, is bound to be Gideon/Boris, G/ Gove, G/ May, or G/somebody else .The ‘heir to Blair’ story, politics without principle, is unwinding pretty fast. And some of us remember Garry, a power obsessed Chancellor, who knew nothing about economics, and now we see his mirror image .There is a thing about the UK, most people do not live in London. The Tory membership, which is strong OUTSIDE of London, will choose Gove, not a toff, brought up in Scotland, and far more intelligent than the dynamic duo who have almost doubled government debt .The most likely outcome of the referendum, a narrow win for Remain, will do for CMD as what is left of his authority over his own party is shredded.Expect a narrow win over a no confidence vote with some Tory abstentions. A shambolic Tory party conference beckons, CMD will quit. A sterling sell off and a minor bear market should present some opportunities in October!

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  9. It was never thought that Jeffrey the dead sheep would do for Margaret, similarly IDS has done for the Cameron gang. This resignation will run and run and run….Brits will vote to stay in ” cheap flights ” and ” cheap credit” being a good reason not to vote.
    But then realising they are in they will elect Boris the good, who will cycle to Brussels and say ” get on your bike ” to which Brussels will say ” we’re already on it”
    And ” Goodnight Zebedee” ….awesome !
    Perverse isn’t it but Britain only reacts when the invading ships can be seen off Dover….in the modern sense when the Brussels boss arrives in London to approve the budget.

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  10. @skeptic

    Indeed. Not reported prominently anywhere as far as I am aware. I’m prepared to wager that the coming ‘Color Revolutions’ (T.M.) in Uraguay and Paraguay will receive blanket coverage in the MSM however. Look for increased activity by USAID and other prominent Washington-linked NGOs and vastly increased signals traffic at the US embassies of Montevideo and Asunción.

    All these so-called Free Trade Agreements are an attempt to negate national sovereignty and representative government wherever it threatens to impede the wealth-grab of the corporatocracy. These supranational agreements have nothing whatsoever to do with free trade.

    https://secure.marketwatch.com/story/the-trans-pacific-partnership-charade-tpp-isnt-about-free-trade-at-all-2015-10-05

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  11. Let us have an accurate description of TTIP. It is NOT a trade agreement.
    It is an attempt at a Corporate coup d’etat against democratic Govt
    The US is in a quandary.
    Its hegemonic ambitions are failing. First by the failure to enforce the use of the US petrodollar by the BRIC nations
    Consequently the US dollar as reserve world currency is declining
    Its chief enforcer,the mighty US military machine has been rendered toothless and their Carrier fleet obsolete by the advances in Russian military hardware as proven in Syria and strategically by the construction of the Trans -Asian Silk road trading routes by China.
    TTIP is a last ditch attempt, by a failing Empire, to enforce hegemonic Corporate power over Sovereign Govt, by shady legal means

    Liked by 2 people

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