SATURDAY ESSAY: It isn’t that difficult to see why Labour lost the Election. But it is for the Left.

turncoat9515Why have so many folks suspicious of the Tories turned their backs on the Labour Party?

In recent weeks, I predicted (based on the polls available) pretty much the same as everyone else: a dead heat. I posted first thing yesterday as to why everyone got it wrong. But as for the reasons why Labour lost, I think The Slog’s earlier predictions about what was going to happen “in May 2015” were pretty much on the money, viz:

1. Voting one way or another is a waste of time because the Conservative Party – and to a lesser extent the LibDems and Labour – are in debt to, and thus serving, interest groups that are wholly unrepresentative of Britain.

2. Miliband and Balls are useless and should be fired. Britain was in danger because a controlling, corporatist government did not face an effective Opposition.

3. On May 7th 2015, a Labour majority without firm allies would be mathematically impossible.

4. Labour would lose because the Left won’t engage and is becoming increasingly Stalinist.

5. UKip would get 4 or less seats.

6. The SNP would wipe Labour out in Scotland.

Even as it was, the ‘dead heat’ scenario wasn’t that far out: the Tories got 36% of the popular vote, and Labour 31%. In a proper grown-up electoral system wearing long trousers, neither Party could’ve ruled on its own.

But aside from the anti-democratic insanity of FPTP, three major statistical factors screwed Labour, and all of these I did post about long before the election. First off, Ukip was (a researcher had told me) pulling as many if not more Labour voters over to the cause than Tory. In fact, at the Bercow by-election, Farage himself told me that his best polls were in the council estates. And second, Labour bodged the Scottish issue – and then risibly tried to make things better at the end – but the Party in general and Miliband in particular sounded like the classic Sassenach absentee landlords. And the Scots took their revenge.

Finally, one might have expected a lot of LibDem votes to go to Labour….after the Coalition was formed in 2010, this is exactly what both Parties claimed. But somehow, it didn’t happen. Or at least, it’s hard to figure out why Clegg the Napper lost 47 seats but the Conservatives still won. My own hunch is that LibDem voters stayed away in droves, but I don’t have any data to prove it.

However statistical these explanations might claim to be, we can no longer see them as anomalous. As I predicted last year, Scottish nationalism isn’t going to go away, dislike of Europe isn’t going to go away (I think it’ll get much worse) and whereas it once had natural allies, Labour now faces only enemies. Why have so many folks suspicious of the Tories turned their backs on the Labour Party? This question immediately dictates a more major rethink about what the Party is since 1932; indeed, it raises doubts in many minds about whether Labour can ever again be what it once once: the shield defending the vulnerable from the Nasty Meanies.

As to the why of lost support, top of the list for me by a metroland kilometre is the espousal by Labour of minority causes, and an insidiously ideological rejection of anyone questioning them. Labour is far too middle class, precious, pc, feminist, radical chic and bubble-fluffy for the vast majority of its audience. Above all else, the Party’s supporters – and several of its leaders – have become downright rude.

Ed Balls is a silly victim of overthink who made a catastrophic mistake five years ago by being unpleasant to the point of childishness when he met the LibDem negotiators. He was also a controlling man in many ways (getting me banned from Twitter for a perfectly polite question about his responsibilities as Minister for Families), a bloke parachuted into Morley by Gordon Brown, and an overeducated Ivy League scholar who came to the Shadow Chancellorship with no commercial experience whatsoever. Now, you could say that the same is true of Osborne, to which my answer would be “Exactly”. He worked very hard to look like a man of the People, but he never will be: and most importantly, he lacks the presence or sagacity to come across well when simplifying the technical. Like his mentor, he thinks complex equals clever. Quite the opposite is true.

For eighteen months from late 2012, I tried patiently to explain in these columns and through social network sites why the two Eds were a waste of space: not connecting with their voters, and not scoring wide-open goals against a highly vulnerable Camerlot. Miliband’s PMQs preps were even more sloppy than Cameron’s when in Opposition. The response I got in almost 100% of cases was virulent, dictatorial and Leninist constipated drivel about being an agent for the Boss Class. As Martin Daubney (a lifelong Labour voter) tweeted on Friday morning, “They told me to f**k off, so I did”. Quite so: and they alienated millions of potential anti-Tories by so doing.

Last night on the BBCNews Channel, yet another gaggle of Leftist yobs outside the Westminster studio drowned out pundits, MPs and voters being interviewed on the BBC. They may have their grievances with the BBC (I think myself they’re misplaced) but one doesn’t look attractive by shouting people down: censoring the censors is counter-productive and infantile.

It was 2012 when I first posted to say engagement in a common front against the global threat of neoliberal social destruction was something that was no longer just desirable – it was a mathematical imperative. I spoke to several MPs (from all Parties as it happens, except Ukip because they didn’t have any), wrote to a number of activist organisers and ‘decency’-sounding websites, and tried to cultivate those with apparent common sense on Twitter. The general response was “we have the right policies”, “we’re going to win on our own so we don’t need you” and ribald ridicule. (I realised early on, by the way, that even approaching a radical feminist website as a bloke is to be treated to a diatribe of fantasies about misogynist male fifth columnists and other assorted bollocks.)

Bizarrely, I found that ‘wet’ Conservatives, some Ukippers, a few LibDems and current abstainers were by far the most willing to give it a go. The Left was (and is) paralysed by tribal ideology. And that is, I’m afraid, at the core of Labour’s problem.

Well, now we have five more years of Friedmanite nutters and fraudulent sheisters. So I hope the liberal-Left is pleased with itself this weekend. While I sympathise utterly with the many people on short hours, low pay and benefits who have been let down by the Ed Miller Band, I’ve no tears for the band at all: it needs new tunes, less cacophony, better lyrics…and fast.

There seems to be an idea inside Labour that is ineradicable….that changing one’s mind in the light of empirical evidence is somehow to abandon one’s principles. They point to the Blairites as classic examples of Why We Won’t Budge from Socialism. I suppose my response here would be to say Blair never had any principles to abandon (nor did his eminence grises Alistair Campbell and Peter Mandelson) but that above all – and this is where the trouble starts – full-on socialism is (like laissez faire neoliberalism) a totally busted flush.

Hardly anyone in Britain beyond the politically wonkish thinks the future lies in a return to the bad old days of undemocratic trade unions and nationalised industries – beyond essential services. But the Hard Left, Occupy, the SWP or whatever they’re called now….indeed, a bewildering array of other purist placard-carriers all the way down to Russell Brand continue to yell, immolate, sloganise and generally demand that a severe Left-turn towards the Workers’ Paradise is the only way.

For those still living in 1917, let me point the following out based on the 2015 General Election statistics:

The Monster Raving Looney Party polled more votes than the Socialist Labour Party

The Yorkshire First Party polled three times as many votes as the Workers Party

The English Democrats polled seven times more than Class War

The Respect Party polled more votes than the SLP, WP & Class War put together

But here’s an interesting thought: move away from polemic ideology into a more practical approach to the endangered, and everything changes.

A one-issue Party – National Health Action – attracted twice as many votes as the Socialist Workers Class War Smash Tory Scum tendency put together….over 20,000 votes.

Still small potatoes, but from then on it’s up-up-up: Green Party 1.2 million, SNP 1.5 million, Ukip 3.9 million…..their aims respectively being protection of the Planet, Scottish rights, and an end to unelected dictatorship from Brussels-am-Berlin.

Have these Parties compromised their principles in identifying what they see as an important issue? I would submit no, they haven’t.

Judging from the brand name, the Labour Party stands for the survival of the working wage-slave – at every level – against the massive shift in power to capital that has typified the World since the Big Bangs of the mid 1980s.

To dump the ‘creed’ part of Socialism in order to become more focused on arguing for the rights of the vulnerable and the creative against the social vandalism of economic colonialism seems to me to be a return to first principles…of abandoning discredited principles. But such thought won’t get a hearing on the Left, because it represents bourgeois lackey revisionism…or whatever sub-Galloway syntax is in vogue this week.

Of all the principles held by those high-polling Parties, the one in relation to EU membership has had by far the most influence on the British public in recent years. This influence has, of course, been given a massive boost by the bullying, bombastic, illegal, corrupt and anti-democratic nature of the European Commission (and more latterly the eurogroupe) egged on by specious accounts of reality emanating from Berlin.

Millions of workers dear Labour Party – that’s right workers – are being crushed in Spain, Portugal and Greece by an unpleasant axis of anal German politicians, NATO, unelected Brussels Sprouts and traitors like Mariano Rajoy…a Spaniard himself neck-deep in quite remarkably amoral levels of backhander and offshore riches.

In Greece – where a workers’ Party called Syriza, dear Labour Party has at last rebelled based on elective democracy – said legally elected government is being undermined by the very banking, multinational and political fascists to whom you, dear Labour Party, are supposed to be implacably opposed.

But the unswerving and total support for this Gangster Boss Class remains a given on the British Left: every opponent of the EU Goliath is dismissed as a Little Englander racist pissing incontinently against the tide of history.

Yes, dear Labour Party, you’d rather sell out your comrades in arms than admit that the European Ideal has been replaced by a fiscal nightmare produced, devised, scripted and acted by capital. That’s not so much selling out your principles as selling your children into slavery.

:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

Let me spell out the bottom line to Labour members, organisers and reformers today: recognise the muddle, avoid the metropolitan, engage with the decency demographic, fire the spin doctors, sideline the extremist minorities, radicalise your aims, and dump socialism.

In a nutshell, stop being correct….and get back to looking after majority rights.

The Slogology of this post:

From January 2012: Jim Murphy, accident-in-waiting

From June 2012: Take the NHS away from Whitehall & mutualise it

From December 2012: Britain has no effective Opposition

From December 2012: The Hard Left’s lack of manners or tolerance

From March 2014: Labour members…fire your leadership

From August 2014: Dont waste your vote….don’t vote

From October 2014: Two Eds twiddle as Britain burns

Earlier at The Slog: Some home truths about election ‘mandates’:

29 thoughts on “SATURDAY ESSAY: It isn’t that difficult to see why Labour lost the Election. But it is for the Left.

  1. My version of the result.
    1. Labour in the celebrity version as presented to the public by Balls-up and Millibrand, couldn’t be trusted with the economy as presented by Osborne and Murdoch. No working class bloke’s going to vote for a chap with an RE accent, adenoids and a lack of ability with a bacon sandwich. And Ball ballsed up with Broon. No hopers really. But no-one in the Labour party had the balls to point these obvious drawbacks out. (Even though the polls made it crystal clear).
    2. A sufficient number of English Labour supporters were scared shitless of the possibility of an SNP/Labour alliance however many times Millibrand denied the possibility – because Miss Sturgeon was so, so, so credible about Labour needing her to stiff Cameroon.
    3. Labour lost out in Scotland because BOTH major English parties went up to Scotland in the last week of the referendum and started promising them the crown jewels to stay in the Union. Scots of both Yes and No variety suddenly realised they had Westminster by the balls and that was a braw feeling. It isn’t another referendum most of them are looking for it’s getting Westminster to pay attention – AND dosh – AND devolved power!
    4. Liberals lost out – and mostly to Tories, because they lost credibility by joining the enemy in coalition – prtetty predictable. But might just have sneeked it if they hadn’t caved in quite so quickly on Student Fees. [Strengely the only major policy they caved in on which was remembered – for that memory blame the opposition media – i.e. all of it)
    5. Labour couldn’t pick up disenchanted Lib-Dem supporters because of points 1 and 2 above.
    Conclusions.
    1. We desperately need PR . But NO f**king chance under the Tories. God this country is f**cked long term.
    2. The left desperately needs a half decent celeb leader who is a) credible b) has sex appeal and leadership qualities.
    David Milliband could have been the man, possibly (WITHOUT Balls-up) but now the Millibrand is tainted. Can’t see anyone else at the moment. Oh for a British Nicola Sturgeon – hang on she IS British, and more Socialist than Labour. Brilliant idea.
    3. The Lib-Dems need to point out at every possible moment how the Tory bastards are riding roughshod and breaking all their promises.
    4. We WILL have an in/out Europe referendum. But we will vote to stay in.
    If ONLY we could ever have the opportunity to vote either for a Eropean Federation (obviously NO) or a European Free Trade Communityy (obviously YES). Let’s hope the Euro collapses and the Germans fall out with the French and the Troika gets found out for what it is BEFORE we have a referendum!! Not likely – Berlin-Brussels is too good at down the road can-kicking.

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  2. The Labour party was long ago hijacked by a bunch of very wealthy north London Liberals. There was a hilarious moment on the Andrew Marr show during the election when Boris Johnson pointed out rather inconveniently to that great working class socialist Ed Miliband that they had both in fact attended the same school. The other thing that sticks in my mind was the sheer hypocrisy of the Labour leadership campaigning around the country against zero hours contracts and employers not paying the living wage when they the Labour party were one of the biggest offenders. Labour councils zero hour contracts galore, Labour MP’s unpaid internships by the dozen and of course all of the security staff a Labour HQ not paid the living wage.

    As for Ed Miliband himself how the hell did the Labour party ever seriously believe that this clown was ever a suitable or serious candidate to be Prime Minister?

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  3. Labour has not supported or cared about workers for decades. Now they are the party of couch potatoes, benefit fraudsters & Muslims (imported wholesale just to vote for them), perhaps they should be renamed the BUM Party (Benefits, Unemployed & Muslims)

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  4. One of the potential Labour leadership contenders (can’t remember which one) was on the new today saying Labour needs to shake off the impression that it just the party for the working class. Funny – I thought they’d stopped giving that impression years ago.

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  5. I commend the very erudite Peter Hitchens’ blog in tomorrow’s Mail on Line.
    Absolutely spot on analysis.

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  6. Paradoxically it seems to me, SD, that the LibDems would have been able to exercise a greater influence over Tory policies from outside government. As it was their eagerness to enjoy some of the trappings of power not only made it much more difficult to defend their “red lines” but also demeaned them in the eyes of their supporters. Their only chance to recover is to try to rebuild from the foundations of their strong local roots, but this is going to be a real struggle. They may well go into permanent decline.

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  7. Spot on John and all the above commenters. For the first time in my life I did not vote and not from laziness, I made two trips to the polling station driving others who wished to vote. All very sad.

    I now live in a one party state and I think Scottish independense is now inevitable – which will mean England becomes a one party state. Labour and the Libdumps deserve all they got for all the above mentioned reasons – mainly for treating the electorate as fools. People remmember more than the pols give them credit for. For instance if you force all your candidates to sign a pledge – a solemn oath if you will and then they all break it, they demonstrate that they are wortheless beings.

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  8. First class analysis JW Also an excellent one from Peter Hitchens. MailonSunday I find it all deeply depressing JW, give me some good news please.

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  9. Now there is a thought … export brand SNP to south of the border to replace NuLabour. and the LibDems as opposition.

    All by elections in the next 5 years put up an SNP candidate, swell the number.

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  10. Dear Mark, It was the same JUNIOR school. Ed Milliband went to a comprehensive secondary school, Johnson went to Eton and then on to become a Bullingdon boy – note, most of whom appear to also be bullies forever after with their innate sense of superiority.

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  11. There is no doubt the idea of a ‘labour’ party is outdated and that Miliband fell short of Blair’s charisma.
    I think my problem with the idea that it was inevitable he was going to lose is that the Tories had equally intractable problems: The disappearance of their core vote and party workers, many to Ukip; Cameron’s lack of leadership qualities and his sleepwalking through a terrible campaign; the lack of substantial policy achievements in the past five years; the desperately poor image of the Conservative Party in much of the country, particularly in London, Scotland, Wales and the North, as well as among ethnic minority voters and the young.
    The overall result was strange. Some of the constituency results, such as Balls and Cable losing their seats seem unlikely.I don’t understand how the Tories could have won in very deprived areas like Gillingham, South Thanet and Hastings. Cameron’s behaviour before and after the election has been strange.
    If we were an African country they would have called in the election monitors.

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  12. IATA, Hitchens also nails it thanks for link.

    I avoided much of the campaigning because much of what I did hear was just trivialities. Where was discussion of monetary/banking reform-without which there will be no balancing of the economy or foriegn relations, middle east follies etc. Future energy policy and so on, all we got were gimmicks. God if I were a woman pink buses would have pi**ed me off let alone stone slabs, sheesh. Passing a law to stop us raising taxes if we get back in power -WOT! Why not just not do it, is legeslative time so cheap.

    Sorry, starting to rant now. We just have to figure out now how best to survive what’s coming.

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  13. Some points …

    Most Lib Dem voters never wanted the Lib Dems to be in power. They preferred to stand self-righteously on the sidelines as Tories battled Labour. These voters were always going to desert the party whatever hard decisions the Lib Dems came to.

    Class War and SWP don’t care about voting numbers. People who didn’t vote for them are all Tory scum worthy of spending the rest of their lives in labour camps.

    A major feature of the next 5 years is going to be negotiating how much the SNP get in exchange for not calling another referendum. The voters were probably right to see Cameron as being a tougher negotiator than Miliband.

    Labour’s loss in Scotland goes back to their campaigning on the same platform as the Tories against Scottish independence. Of course, they had to campaign against Scottish independence, but they should have done so independently of the Tories offering a devo-max model, thereby differentiating themselves from the Tories. Why they did not do so is the question? Presumably Labour are as keen to maintain Trident and our ‘special relationship’ with the US as the Tories.

    It is staggering and perhaps a reflection on just how ignorant the modern electorate is that at a time of rising danger in the Middle East and Eastern Europe that foreign policy was never discussed. Presumably whoever won we would have been taking orders from Washington.

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  14. @ Chrisb: I, too, was astonished that foreign policy never seemed to be discussed, debated or to feature at all in any of the election communications I received. To my mind, all domestic issues are of somewhat secondary importance when we are hovering on the brink of WWIII. As it is., I believe that we are now in a very dangerous position without an effective opposition to moderate any hawkish aspirations.

    @ Tom: re your last sentence: my feelings entirely

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  15. Lefties? The current Labour Party is just a mash up of ill thought out policies, soundbites and hurried responses. Cameron is a light weight but Millibland makes him look like Superman. The third of the electorate who don’t vote are the people who Labour used to represent. They’ve lost their reason for existence.

    I heard some of the Scots Labour MPs interviewed after being defeated. You’d expect them to say something about maybe needing stronger policy or building for the future etc. No, these guys were fuming! First they blamed the SNP and then berated the electorate for stupidity, the quote was ‘Sturgeon ran an excellent campaign but the public thought they were actually voting for HER’ They seem to feel entitled to their seats. Their attitude could permanently kill Scottish Labour.

    The current path of our new government will see an EU referendum which could see both Britain out of Europe and Scotland out of the UK. On the latter Cameron has played a dangerous game. The right-wing press helped him by printing articles which were little better than racist. I actually saw the ‘rivers of blood’ being used in a British daily!

    This could be a VERY different country by 2020.

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  16. I think it’s very difficult to achieve electoral fraud in this country. The ballot papers are taken from the polling booths straight to a large hall where everybody can see what is going on. Ballot papers for one party cannot be attributed to another party. Scrutineers take care of that. Representatives of all the parties are there as well to ensure fair play. The system was designed many years ago to eliminate the possibility of fraud. Postal votes are another matter. How they are handled I don’t believe is so transparent, but I don’t think any dodgy business there will favour the Tories. Quite the opposite. In the States they have a more ‘modern’ system with voting machines which are basically computers now and depend on a computer program to register and count the votes. It is quite possible for a computer programmer to arrange things so that every other vote, or all votes, for say McCain are turned into votes for Obama. There are methods to ensure that a computer program does what it says on the tin, but you can be sure that such methods are never employed by people who do not understand the technology. I was very pleased to see on the TV these halls of people hard at work counting pieces of paper. They’re much more likely to give a fair and faithful result, no matter how much you/we don’t like it.

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  17. Excellent summation of the ridiculous state of the Labour party…. They sat by in opposition and didn’t hold the government to account for anything which is their whole reason for being there ! Better they save the taxpayers money and stay at home if all they want to do is perform a tragically scripted comedy routine once a week which is about as entertaining as a bowl of week old porridge…. Yet they have nobody of any potential to follow Milibland. The downward spiral appears set to continue.

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  18. As far as the result is concerned it’s UKIP/SNP wot won it for Mr Cameron.
    UKIP taking votes from Labour – dyed in the wool working class Labour voters protesting against the Party that has betrayed them, particularly on immigration(but few in the media will mention that).
    SNP for making it clear to the rest of the Country that Milliband would be in their pocket.
    In addition to that it seems that outside the Cities, many Lib votes drifted to the Conservatives to keep out UKIP.

    If we really want change in UK politics then the only hope is an EU exit which provides the conditions for more representative and accountable Parties/Government. The establishment Referendum spin will focus on economics but it’s really about democracy.

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  19. The UK did not heed G. Orwell’s advice that in times of universal deceit telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

    The Tories were better at the big lies.

    They overspent by well over £200Billion on their 2010 promise to eradicate the UK Annual Deficit by now we still have c£87Billion ayear overspend now, despite selling off the Royal Mail cheaply getting bizarre large transfers from the BOE and the supposedly independent BOE printing £375Billion by a keystroke and also artificially reducing interest rates to nearly zero (Zirp).

    I would hazard a guess that without QE and Zirp the Deficit would have been around £200Billion rather than the c.£87Billion (I have assumed Government outstanding debt would have been 2.5 to 3% higher).

    The rebalancing of the unbalanced UK economy that the Tories promised has if anything continued to coalesce round rentier profits and continued wild property speculation, it has been said that ‘investment’ in property is upwards of £89 out of every £100 invested in UK CAPEX. So much for rebalancing.

    The SNPsuccess is a classic pyrhic victory as their demolishment of the Scottish Labour vote ensured that their shrilled from the roof tops coalition prospective partner, Labour,ld be unable to be the winner on thursday.

    The Scots voting to show they are strong and nationalistic and the Tories cleverly making sure that Scottish nationalism became an issue, I believe ensured the English to reassess their votes to show that they would not countenence this existential threat that never was.

    By the way I do believe Labour have become embarassed by their Union legacy association, however they should have argued that Union weakness since the 80’s and Tatcher’s Tories has shown the stagnation of wages for the ‘workers’ and profits increasing rapidly for the Rentiers who are traditional Tory voters (acknowledging labour champagne supporters a la Blairites)and that it was the Tory enclave that was the prime cause of the GFC and thus the ballooning National deficit and thus the National debt not Labour generalspendthrift policies (labour increased the National Debt by less in their 13 year administration than the Tories have in their mere 5 years).

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  20. Labour failed both in policy but more important getting the message across
    1 were for the working people, many small businesses rightly feared the extra cost this may but on them & because Labour refused to spell out their plans they never got into a position to make what could have been a strong point for them in that small business should & most do fear vested interest, tax avoidance & a unbalanced economy
    2 Giving people longer tenancies & restricting increases in line with inflation,many people 5 ex-lib-dems who all have pensions but have also brought single properties to boost their pensions,were suddenly left with the possibility of getting troubled tenants,that create big costs in damage &unable to raise their rents to a) pay for the damage & b)force them out,Labour in attempting to defended a group , alienated another in what can only be described as draconian ,i know all 5 voted Conservative & these have pensions ,others who pensions are their rents must have felt the same & some of these are likely to be Ex lib-dems
    3 The moment Sturgeon said the words to keep out the Tories the Labour party was in trouble Some Conservatives thinking of voting Ukip returned to the conservatives & many Lib-Dems couldn’t vote Labour ,Ukip voted Conservatives certainly enough for a small swing in key seats to increase the Conservatives vote, labour held their die hards,Ukip lost votes to the Conservatives but gained some from Labour & the protest vote that the Lib-Dems enjoyed last time out.Greens took some of this protest vote & from kept Labour from making the gains needed
    4 Europe am pro-EU but even i realise that it isn’t what was promised & what one hoped,their is many reasons for this but that doesn’t matter,What matters is than no one has a view on how to change it & by not offering a say on it Labour locked themselves into a policy that once again they failed to sell over the previous 5 yrs
    Labour need to get a new leader set out their policies spell them out far far better & be far more inclusive of small business middle class Britain

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  21. Nick Clegg was probably the biggest loser last week. Miliband was always going to be undermined, manipulated and duped from inside the Labour camp. “I agree with Nick” last time round fooled him into thinking he had power and influence, and the lure of Deputy whatever and a special badge was enough to stop him promoting LibDem causes. He had 5 years to think about how to claim the credit for anything, and relied on History’s judgement rather than the voters’.

    Sturgeon is not as talented as the media believe; she has learned from a decade under Salmond how to play the game in the media spotlight. When you look at all these new SNP MPs, most of them are disaffected Labour. Scottish urban voters voted for free handout socialism as ever, it just wore a yellow badge. They are not an army marching under one banner.

    The SNP in the referendum did not campaign for freedom, they campaigned for a tie to sterling and UK interest rates, and even more subservience to European control. Now that they have control over Holyrood and all Westminster Scottish affairs (or do they, cos who says Dave can whip his Southern Engiish MPs for voting for any gifts to Scotland?), they probably have to go for a new referendum. But their version of independence was rejected last time around and I don’t think they can sell the same second hand dawg. I think they will break into factions; all politicians do when they smell victory (especially if their clique didn’t earn it.)

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  22. Spot-on analysis overall, and this bit particularly struck home-

    As to the why of lost support, top of the list for me by a metroland kilometre is the espousal by Labour of minority causes, and an insidiously ideological rejection of anyone questioning them. Labour is far too middle class, precious, pc, feminist, radical chic and bubble-fluffy for the vast majority of its audience.

    Proof of this in particular can be found by looking at the following outcomes-
    1. Of all places, Glasgow is now a Labour free zone
    2. Labour’s only seat north of the border is in fact Edinburgh South- luvvie central as far as Scotland goes.
    3. The only bit of the country where Labour’s vote went up was London- in particular those areas that have been properly Neatherised (Ilford North being the best example)

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