COMING EVENTS: In support of logging geopolitical strategy rather than constructing artificial conspiracy theory.

Is there “a bigger picture”?

It think it was Pablo Picasso who, when asked by an admirer what he was trying to say in a new canvas, replied “I don’t know, it’s not finished yet”. Degas also said similar things: indeed, he had the unnerving habit of, while round at a client’s for dinner, taking one of his paintings off the wall as he left “to finish it”.

There is a bigger picture behind the great majority of world events in 2015, but nobody knows what it is yet, because it’s a long way from finished. At this point – it sometimes seems to me – it is little more than a preparatory series of sketches. I do not and never will buy into the World Conspiracy tripe, be it about Jews, Islamics, the Pentagon, Putin or the EU/banker/Wall Street axis, because these are at best very loose and occasional cooperations. Most of the time, sharks do not like sharing their prey: a squabble breaks out and there’s a feeding frenzy, but by the end of it they’re as likely to turn on each other as the victim. Islamists split into literally dozens of sectarian groups, Wall Street hates the City, most Russian oligarchs don’t like Putin, the European Commission distrusts the ECB, and a helluva a lot of Jews are either way about Israelis.

What I do think however is that certain similarly aligned interest groups are doing similar things, because they’re jockeying for position in a world where the ringside seats are in short supply. Some of it too, I think, is self-protection by those with vision (and no proprietors to worry about) who want to reduce their exposure to the massive pavanne they just know is coming.

It’s why from 2011-2013 there was a ‘glitz bricks’ boom right at the top of the property markets, as those worried about fiat currencies went for ‘safe’ area property, thus reducing cash liquidity in the economies still further. It’s why (despite manipulation of the price downwards) huge numbers of key institutions and Sovereign governments are buying gold, and new alliances are forming. The AIIB Beijing initiative has had remarkable success in pulling major US supporters and even close allies into its orbit; and predictably, the US has pulled every string, lever and favour in a bid to undermine the new Chinese system.

The Americans will become increasingly isolated the more they go lalalalah about their debt mountain. They may think that QE, huge stock bubbles and Zirp can save their system while inflating away the debt, but if there is another system upon which people can hedge, then that plan isn’t going to work.

The Brussels-am-Berlin-und-Frankfurt axis for a long time saw, in the classic Gaullist tradition, the EU as a commercial, economic and military bulwark against American hegemony. But as their isolation has grown, from Geithner onwards the interference of Wall Street, the State Department and the CIA in European affairs has become increasingly blatant…as indeed has its determination to remain hooked into fossil fuels via the Middle East.

The Mediterranean Lake (for want of a better term) is an infinitely more homogeneous mix than than the north-south divided EU. Similarly, the central, eastern and south Eastern territories relate more closely to German, Russian and Arab relations that they ever will to those with the US. The US knows this…and is committed to “not losing this one” as one well-placed New Yorker told me two weeks ago.

Atop everyone else in the eurozone, Angela Merkel too is preparing before the Future. The Marks

are printed and ready to go, and while she doesn’t trust Putin, they do have ‘an understanding’. As a smart person, she can also see where the Club Med revolt will inexorably lead; and above all, she does not trust Mario Draghi’s motives. This last is possibly the only thing we have in common.

The power shift from labour to capital and big to bigger has had a good run for its money….but the smarter end of that money knows it isn’t the future. Totally unreported in mainstream media, Rupert Murdoch has made three speeches in the last two years saying the future is small and fleet of foot, not big and unwieldy. I don’t think he was talking about Geli in the Chancellery, but you never know.

In between those planning as best they can are the middling-brained folks trying to defend what they’ve got. This applies to the eurozone and the EC as much as it does to the neoliberal globalists. There is no conspiracy I can discern here at all – unless you call water cannon and panicky, illiberal laws a conspiracy. I prefer to see them as siege-mentality desperation.

We need to move away from being easy targets for the Status Quoers who are keen to stick us all in a tight frame called Conspiracy theory non-violent extremists.

The aim from here on, in my view, should be to record and analyse those acts suggestive of a strategy…not force fit them into Elders of Zion looney-tune bollocks.

A geopolitical strategy is what all the major players are sketching out at the moment. Some will work better than others, but don’t expect the final result to be a work of art. The only way we’re going to get that is to take the money out of politics, and give power back to the citizenry.

34 thoughts on “COMING EVENTS: In support of logging geopolitical strategy rather than constructing artificial conspiracy theory.

  1. ‘A bigger picture?’ Look no further than the RDS/BG agreed merger,which will over time produce head office redundancies in the thousands, more efficient capex ( more redundancies), bigger profits and dividends, not just for the 1 percent who have been creaming it for the last 20 years….

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  2. Only two questions:
    1) What does ‘pavanne ‘ mean? As I can’t find a definition anywhere. (I can understand what you want it to mean.)
    2) ‘The Marks are printed and ready to go’. Do you have evidence of this please?

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  3. ‘The power shift from capital to labour and big to bigger has had a good run for its money’

    Err, shift from labour to capital surely! Labour has never had a smaller share of GDP and capital a larger one than today. Ergo, the declining real incomes of the 90 per cent which, in the US, are now lower than in 1970, two generations ago.

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  4. I agree with the general thrust of your argument John, the world and politics IS largely driven by conspiracy, but it is not a single, unified conspiracy, it is a veritable sea of small conspiracies dedicated to the self-interest and occasionally the ideology of powerful organisations or groups rather than individuals. Some of these conspiracies bear fruit, some fail. Some clash disastrously with other conspiracies and create havoc, some coalesce with others for a time and have great impact. Many have effects that were totally unintended, nor even thought of, sometimes in other areas often not even distantly related.

    I do take exception to your assertion “…. and give power back to the citizenry”, when has the citizenry ever had power? The simple answer is we never had the power in the first place so there is no ‘giving back’. What we did have in times past was a political class, or at least some individuals, that saw public service as a duty with a responsibility to improve the lot of the Country and the Empire. The closest we ever came to power was post WW2 when we had a choice between left and right, neither of which was necessarily a good choice. In truth I rather suspect that were the citizenry to have real power, given the rampant self-interest, ill-informed at that, ill-education and underlying prejudice and abandonment of common sense the citizenry have been reduced to over at least three generations would spell disaster.

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  5. Pavanne noun – a stately dance in slow duple time ….. performed in elaborate clothing.

    I too understand what John intended to say, but I rather suspect it was a poor choice of word ;-)

    Is there word for a slow dance to disaster?

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  6. Am quite sure that those carrying out their ideology never fore-sore this outcome,but have panicked & tried hanging on to what they have gained this has undermined them & speeded up the mess & failure of the system,even now a return to true values taking down slowly the 96% of wealth in so few hands to 70% even would create billions of pounds slowly released from being hoarded & stimulating growth & opening up Bastiast window of opportunity for millions,by paying a fair price for commodities countries can grow themselves which is the best way of stopping immigration & not another pound needed to be printed,it taken 30 yrs to get here if it was spelt out to the people of the world that this plan would take 30yrs to reverse it ,am sure they would except that time scale,other factors permitting

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  7. Pingback: John Ward – Coming Events : In Support Of Logging Geopolitical Strategy Rather Than Constructing Artificial Conspiracy Theory – 8 April 2015 | Lucas 2012 Infos

  8. The interference by Wall Street only ever possible while the dollar is the global reserve currency. This slight anger by the interference is the world waking up that the USA is now playing the global imperial card of empire.

    More deadly than any other previous global reserve currency because they made it FIAT and now just create whatever value they wish to buy anything … think Cadburys … at this realisation writing is on the wall in my mind.

    The AIIB though … you cannot allow any trading of dollars in this because if you do then it will be bought and purchased by creating more FIAT and there is no limit on the amount that can be created if 80 billion MOM is no big deal.

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  9. I’m assuming that, “The power shift from capital to labour …”, should be reversed as it seems to me that there has been a power shift from labour to capital. (although I’m not sure labour ever had any real power).

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  10. John my post are going missing ,i can not find you any more on tweeter,could you please let me know whether i am band or having problems,i do not have your email

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  11. kfc
    1. Mediaeval term for an odd, slow-time dance leading to no good.
    2. Yes. And not I’m not going to say how.

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  12. A Pavanne as used in the original novel was a slow, doomed attempt to hold back the inevitable – as used to describe history without the Reformation, in which mad Catholic belief systems held back science. So I think it completely appropriate

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  13. Well, with Tsipras consorting with Putin for, ‘money for assets’ and the the the Deutsche Marks ready to go, who will be the first to leave the EU, Germany or Greece? I’m sure the Nederlands won’t be far behind if Germany goes…

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  14. Am quite sure that the model presented to them never ended this way,but in trying to protect their overvalued assets/money everything else is juggling the system to suit,rather than return the system to fundamentals,this has it could only do speeded up the crash & made the recovery impossible
    it is out of desperation to at least try & keep or kid people that their is some merit let alone integrity in the ideology but profiteering was outlawed as early has the 15th century in many countries because of it destructive action & why many kingdoms/empires failed ,they are in control of the uncontrollable but they take the middle word from that to propagate their wishes
    This could be solved by taxing the 5% who own 96% of the wealth down to 70% & releasing Bastiast window of opportunity for millions of people & many countries stopping migration in a instance
    without a single penny/cent being printed ever again,but then they ,can not have that, can they

    or this piece could be you John practising staying within the new French law again conspiracy’s literature,oh but isn’t that conspiracy theory itself

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  15. No OAH, time for you to remember that there’s one pf me and 12,000 of you…and I deliver this service free.

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  16. Steven Goddard, a pen name for Tony Heller at Real Science, is most adept at exposing govt agency fraud in tampering with temperature records to promote the climate change scare scam. He has been harassed & removed from twitter, though I never use the stuff myself. He was reinstated after vigorous protest. In anticipation of similar pressure from wordpress, he is transitioning to self-hosting at: http://www.realclimatescience.com

    His present site is: http://www.stevengoddard.wordpress.com

    He is a truther in your mold, JW, but he’s a bit of a techie wizard. He is also politically astute. One of his best commenters, Gail Combs, has had her comments delayed & harassed. Big brothers hand is getting heavier, but, of course, there’s no conspiracy involved. :)

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  17. I love it. My reply has gone into “moderation” :). At 5.07 PM. I’ll split it & see what occurs.

    Steven Goddard, a pen name for Tony Heller at Real Science, is most adept at exposing govt agency fraud in tampering with temperature records to promote the climate change scare scam. He has been harassed & removed from twitter, though I never use the stuff myself. He was reinstated after vigorous protest. In anticipation of similar pressure from wordpress, he is transitioning to self-hosting at: http://www.realclimatescience.com

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  18. Pt 2 of 2. :)
    His present site is: http://www.stevengoddard.wordpress.com

    He is a truther in your mold, JW, but he’s a bit of a techie wizard :). He is also politically astute. One of his best commenters, Gail Combs, has had her comments delayed & harassed. Big brother’s hand is getting heavier, but,of course, there’s no conspiracy involved. :)

    John Doran.

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  19. I’ve been having trouble for days,not appearing,waiting for adjudication,John even disappeared out of my tweeter feed for a short time ??? fire in Holborn London lights out White house on emergency power Washington lights out,someone should pay the bill

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  20. Your analogy to sharks was good but you must remember sharks are mindless, banksters are not. Common interests inevitably lead to common cause and the greed to acquire leads to the reality of conglomeration The old plan may have been indeed to go to the Euro and dump the dollar and the wealth of the common people,( mostly American common people) with it but the planners of the EU somehow became all entangled in another soviet model OOPs!! too many leftists had to be bought off with jobs as bureaucrats methinks. And as if to prove the theory we have a leftist peoples hero Tsiparis who wants to make the the EU actually function! ( so he says). All the while he has tried to beat this dead horse to life Draghi has been urging any investors in anything Greek to run for their lives. So now we have the dual move YV to the US and Tsiparis to Russia. Tell me, oh mighty slog, just wtf this means???

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